CTT 05:Probability

&pageText=You will assess each identified hazard. The first stage in assessing the hazard is to determine the probability of a hazardous incident. Probability refers to how often the hazard is likely to occur during a mission. The five degrees of probability are frequently (A), likely (B), occasionally (C), seldom (D), and unlikely (E).& &popText1=The best example of a frequent event would be weather. The weather could have significant impact on a mission or operation with anything from clear, warm, sunny having a positive impact to rain, snow, and dust storms having a negative impact. The changes in the weather frequently influence mission planning.& &popText2=An example of a likely event is that at some point during your military career, a Soldier in your organization will die. This Soldier may die as the result of natural causes, an accidental death, or even a combat-related incident. While this fact is unfortunate, it remains a fact that this is likely to occur.& &popText3=An example of an occasional event would be the occurrence of a vehicle accident. If you or your unit drive enough miles over a period of time, the likelihood increases that you will be in a vehicle accident. This could be either a military vehicle or even your own civilian vehicle.& &popText4=An example of a seldom event would be one related to live ranges. It seldom happens that someone is killed or injured on a controlled live fire range, but it has happened. The causes behind an accident on a range vary greatly, but whatever the reason, the fact is that this can occur but seldom does occur.& &popText5=An example of an unlikely event would be one related to the air movement of your unit by a Military Airlift Command (MAC) aircraft. There is an unlikely possibility that you and your unit would be involved in an aircraft crash, but the possibility does still exist that it could happen.&